- Stock had seen a sudden , sharp major fall from the level of 278 to level of 17.75, which eroded almost 92 % of its price.
- Stock started stabilising and forming a base at the levels of 17 -18, and from there started forming higher lows/ bottoms.
- Stock is now trading in a up-trending channel.
- In the begning of this year, stock has found forming bullish flag pattern followed by a bulliish continuation, cup and handle pattern.
- Stock acheived its Cup and handle target, which came near the level of 44-45.
- Immediate Resistance for stock is at the level of 44, 48.
- Immediate Support is at 36.5 , 34.5.
- However in today's session it made a gap up- red shooting star pattern at its resistance level, signalling bears are too in strenght, though this is gap-up shooting star, this gap may serve as minor support, however if this gap is filled, stock may test its previous support levels at 36.5 and 34.5.
- RSI though giving mixed signals, as negative divergence followed by curving up towards reading of 70%.
- Stochastic is about to make postive crossover in the middle, indicating strength in prices.
- ROC is still moving up , signalling strenght in momentum.
- OBV is also increasing, means volumes are still good.
- MACD Bars are though moving-down, however Macd Line is still curving-up.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
OPTO CIRCUIT ( I ) LIMITED trading in an up-trending channel.
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Thursday, May 22, 2014
IDEA CELLULAR REVISTED
- On 20th May, Stock broke-up with down-ward sloping trend-line with a volume expansion, but took resistance, but took resistance at 38.2% retrace-ment of its previous downfall from 188 to 125
- In the next session it lost all of its price gained in previous session, forming Bearish Engulfing Pattern, with shadows on the both side [ Such made lower high and , lower low than previous session and closed under the previous session, which shows weakness may continue in next session , if prices opened under the middle of this candle.
- Like-wise today opening took place at middle of previous candle and prices headed lower and closed almost near its low, signalling weakness may continue in tomorrow session.
- Initial Stop-loss of 140 is triggered in today's session.
- Stock tested its 30 day moving average and still standing above it.
- Stock is likely to take support at levels of 137, 135, 133, 129,125.
- Stock may face minor resistance at 141.5.
CNX NIFTY
Daily Chart |
- Unusual High volumes at market highs usually , suggests to traders and investors to follow, a cautionary approach towards markets, and stay light.
- Small red bodied candles at highs, suggests that new buying is drying-up or market is taking breathier before carrying further the previous move.
- There is a possibility that nifty may have volatile session tomorrow.
- Market may take support at the levels of 7200, 7130 on the downside in tomorrow's session.
- On the upside 7350, 7400 could act as resistance in tomorrow's session.
- Rising Window support came at 7020.05 -7067.15
- RSI: Is flattened in the overbought territory, signalling prior move may change.
- Stochastic: D% line move under the K% line, while K% is line flattened, preceded by a negative crossover, signalling pause in upside momentum.
- MACD Bars are also turning down.
- On Balance Volume is increasing, while prices are flattened or range bound.
- Moving Averages are still curving-up, suggests, prior move may continue.
- Bollinger Bands are widening volatility may increase and nifty may try, to ride the upper Bollinger band.
- ROC: Indicating upside momentum may continue.
ANALYSIS:
- Price Action and indicators are giving mixed signals.
- Tomorrow closing [ Weekly] is important, as to which way market will move.
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Seems bulls are on the driving seat of IDEA CELLURAR LIMITED
Daily Chart |
Weekly Chart |
Price Action
- Stock broke-up with down-ward sloping trend-line with a volume expansion.
- Stock is likely to form higher-top, higher bottom formation.
- Can be seen as forming double bottoming -out pattern, if stocks sustains above level of 150
Candle-Stick formation on weekly chart
- Previous bottom is made via bullish hammer.
- The said hammer is followed by a bullish belt hold candle, which is a bullish contiuation pattern.
- Both candle indicates , that upward -rally is likely to continue in the near term.
Indicators
- Moving Average : Trading above 30 day moving average, and also curving up- signalling strength in upside -momentum.
- Stochastic : Indicator is consistently pointing-up,likely to move into reading above 80 signalling strength in upside -momentum.
- RSI : Indicator is pointing-up , moving above reading of 50% , making higher high, higher low, signalling strength in stock
- MACD : Indicator has shown positive crossover and pointing-up and MACD bars are also making newer highs.
- ROC : Indicator signalling strength in up-side momentum.
- Volume : Volume is expanding with the prices rallying-up.
Analysis:
- Price action and Indicators are in favor of bulls, thus one can follow buy on dips strategy in this stock.
- If stock succeeds in breaching levels of 149, it can test levels of 157, which is the 50% retrace-ment of its previous downfall from the level of 188.4 to 125.1.
- Likely levels that can be seen on the up-side are 157, 164, 175.
- Trailing Stop loss is placed at 140, 137, 133, 130.
Monday, May 19, 2014
BOMBAY DYEING : Breakout from falling wedge pattern is on the cards
- Falling Wedge Pattern is apparent on the daily charts [ Each successive wave is feebler than the previous wave within the pattern ]
- The corrective wave within wedge pattern turned before touching up-sloping trendline and took support on previous rising window.
- Higher low pattern is visible.
- Breakout on the upside ,from the down-sloping trend-line is likely on the cards
Candlestick Patterns
- Bullish Belt hold candle appeared at support, covering in whole previous black candle.
- Another Bullish belt candle followed by upside -gap.
- Long bodied white candle closed near it high with good volume ,appeared at the support of 30 day moving average, indicating near term bullishness.
Bollinger Bands
- Bollinger Bands are broadened, indicating volatility.
- Price is riding at the average of Bollinger Band.
MACD
- MACD showing bullish crossover and pointing-up , indicating s an acceleration based on the recent near crossing.
- Histograms are making a new high
MOVING AVERAGE
- Stock is trading above 200, 100, 50 day moving average.
- Currently it is standing at support of 30 day moving average, and the average is also curving-up.
STOCHASTIC
- Stochastic continues to point-up
- It is moving above middle territory indicating strength in prices
VOLUME
- Volume diminished when prices moving -down with the pattern.
- Volume is increasing when prices rallied -up within the pattern.
- Volume pattern signalling strength in stock.
ANALYSIS
- All indicators and price action signalling strength in stock.
RESISTANCE
- Levels of 70 and 80 may act as possible resistance in the near term.
SUPPORT
- Stock is likely to take support at the levels of 54 and 60.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
BOTTOMING PATTERN IN TATA STEEL LIMITED [NSE :TATASTEEL]
Price Action
- Head and Shoulder Bottoming Pattern formed and price has broken the neckline and previous top to confirm an uptrend.
- Price made a new high [ higher high ] with a current bullish candle which closed near its high.
- Breakout on the upside ,from the down-sloping trending, with good volume.
Candlestick Patterns
- Piercing Pattern appeared at the support of 30 week moving average, indicating near term bullishness.
- Bullish Belt hold candle appeared which opened at previous close and almost closed near its high
Bollinger Bands
- Bollinger Bands are flattened, indicating range bound price action or a base formation.
- Price is riding the upper Bollinger Band indicating increased momentum.
- Price has pulled back to Bollinger band moving-average.
MACD
- MACD continues to point-up and indicates an acceleration based on the recent near crossing.
- Histograms are making a new high
MOVING AVERAGE
- Major Moving averages are curving-up
STOCHASTIC
- Stochastic continues to point-up in an overbought territory.
- It is moving in a overbought territory indicating strength in prices
ANALYSIS
- All indicators and price action signalling strength in stock.
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Thursday, May 8, 2014
BHARTI AIRTEL LTD
Daily Chart |
- Stock is standing at its 61.8% retracement of its previous rally from 281.9 - 345.5.
- Stock is standing on its uptrendline support at 306, which is also 61.8 % retracement of its previous rally.
- Stock may face resistance at 314.
- Stock is trading under 30 day moving average and average is also curving over.
- 60 day moving average is turning flat.
- Stock had made new low continuously in every trading session from past 7 trading sessions, however today's session , it does'nt tested yesterday's low, but the closing came under the yesterday's closing.
- OBV is also declining.
- RSI is turning down.
- Stochastic is under reading of 20, signalling weakness.
- MACD is also turning down plus MACD bars are rising on the downside,
- Stock levels on the upside - 314, 318.
- Stock levels on the downside - 306, 299.
ADANI POWER LTD
Daily Chart |
- Stock is Trading under 30 day moving average and average is curving over.
- Stock is Facing resistance at 30 day moving average from past 5 trading sessions [ Formed four small bodied candles with shadows on both sides, representing tug of war between bulls and bears, out of which 3 are balck bodied, and one long black candle is formed at 5 th day, which opened at its high and closed at its low, showing that bears have taken control over bulls.
- Hence stock may test 50% retracement of its previous rally [ 31.8 - 59.25 ], standing at 45.66. and also 61.8% retracement at 42.7, which is also a previous top and can serve as a good support for the stock.
- However 60 day moving average is still moving-up.
- Upward Channel breakdown is seen on the charts.
- On- Balance Volume is also declining.
- Volume is also diminishing.
- RSI is curving up.
- Negative crossover is seen in stochastic.
- MACD is also turning down and its bars are also rising on the downside.
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