Friday, November 28, 2014

Bearish Gartley on the daily Charts of IDEA CELLURAR LTD


A Bearish Gartley is apparent on the Daily Charts of Idea Cellurar Ltd.

Lets examine this Bearish Gartley Pattern :


  1. Stock Slipped from point X( marked) to Point A.
  2. Stock retraces about 61.8% of the XA move, from the point A to Point B 
  3. Stock then peaked at Point B, price again slipped to the point C. The BC move retraces 61.8%  of the AB rise. 
  4. Stock then rises from Point C to peak at Point D. The CD move was 161.8 % of the BC move. 
  5. This Pattern would be negated , If price rises above Point X.
Since this is a Bearish Pattern, stock may see lower levels in the near term, thus on the downside:


  • First Target is at Point B.( already achieved on 24-Nov-2014.)
  • Second Target is at Point C.
  • Third Target  is at Point A.
  • Stop is to be placed at Peak Point D, or at Point X.

*********************************************************************************
Point X is at 178.40.
Point A is at 145.25
Point B is at 166.2
Point C is at 154.1
Point D is at 173

XA move  is of  32.74 points, comprising 18.38%.
AB move is of 20.09 points, comprising  12.60%
BC move is of 12.13 points , comprising 7.29%
CD move is of 18.89 points, comprising 12.25%
DB move is of 6.76 points, comprising 3.90%
DC move will be of  18.89 points, comprising 10.90%
DA move will be of 27.72 points, comprising 16.01%
*********************************************************************************

Thursday, November 27, 2014

Cup & Handle Pattern is seen on the daily charts of Reliance Capital

Daily Chart

  1. Reliance Capital had made a remarkable rally from the level of 300 to 672 , thereafter stock showed a time wise & price wise correction and slightly exceeded 61.8% retracement of this rally however took support at it, forming higher lows shaping into rounding bottom.
  2. This rounding bottom rally took resistance at previous bottom resistance zone of 528- 530.
  3. It again slipped into correction and retace about 61.8%  of its rounding bottom rally from 433.25 to 528 and bounce therefrom to test the previous resistance at 528.
  4. It made a cup & handle pattern, which is a Trend reversal pattern & Bullish continuation pattern , examination of which are herein below:
    • The top of the cup is formed around levels of 528-530 on 17th September, 2014  and 19th November, 2014 consisting approx 2 month.
    • The Bottom of the cup made a low of 433.25  on 13th October, 2014.
    • The depth of the bottom  is of approx 100 points.
    • The stock slipped from the level of 530 which is the previous bottom resistance on 19th November 2014 to the level of 470 which is 61.8% retracement  of bottom rally from 430- 530, forming handle consolidation.
    • On 26th November, 2014 a rally is seen from this support level & is expected to test previous resistance level of 530.
    • A break above 530 could take the stock to the higher levels or a further consolidation may be seen in the range of 470 to 530.
    • A break below 470 levels would negate the said pattern formation.
    • Volume were curving up during bottom formation, while it dries during handle formation.






Tuesday, November 4, 2014

IDEA CELLULAR - Weekly Chart Review

Weekly Chart

Head & Shoulder Pattern at Daily Chart

  • We had seen a remarkable rally in the Idea cellular post breakout from the resistance zone of 145 -150.
  • After making a high of 178.40 , we had seen a price correction till 61.8%  of its previous rally from 125.10 to 178.40.
  • A long legged green candle is seen at 61.8% retracement support  of its previous rally  from 125.10 to 178.40, following such candle stock is seen resuming its previous uptrend.
  • Looking at the weekly chart, i can see it forming an inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern, right shoulder of which is due to form, similarly neckline resistance of which is standing at the level of 177. 
  • This Pattern will be valid, when a weekly breakout from the level of 177 would take place.
  • Immediate resistances are at 165.80, 171.40, 178.40.
  • Immediate supports are at 161.30, 158.20, 155.73, 153.25